Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Invasive Tubular Breast Cancer: slim benefits from Radiotherapy

I am a 50 year old woman, post lumpectomy, who was about to undergo radiotherapy, but I discovered there were some anomalies in what had been prescribed and I raised a few questions with the Radiation Oncologist.  I really wanted a frank discussion with her - to be spoken to like an adult who can understand some facts and figures - to be provided with statistics relevant to my particular case. This did not happen: I had had some extra time to think, as my radiotherapy was delayed by my slow-to-heal lymph node surgery.

The following is about my situation alone; but I can conclude that every woman with breast cancer should do her own research once she has her histology report. There are many ways to estimate outcomes, benefits of radiotherapy. None of which are guaranteed, of course, they are mere indications, but helpful.

YOU are the person most interested in what happens to you. Your Radiation Oncologist is probably not going to doing the same amount of research as you will. Don't accept a doctor as being some god like figure - they are just humans that can be time-poor, lazy, jaded - or amazing well-informed intellectually gifted humanitarians, if you are lucky. I tend to think mine was the former.

My Radiation Oncologist was always going to prescribe radiotherapy for any invasive breast cancer - this is standard practice. This is because the accepted medical by-line is "there is no sub group of invasive breast cancer that cannot benefit from radiotherapy".  This is a true statement - HOWEVER - some of these subgroups, such as mine, have MUCH less benefit, than the average case of breast cancer. This is the point of contention. I should have been informed of this, but its too much trouble to get into the nitty gritty, for a Radiation Oncologist in the public health system. Yet this is supposed to happen, according to NZ's Management of Breast Cancer Guidelines. Never mind. I did my own research and made my own decision, which I take full responsibility for.

So during this extra healing time, I looked up the particulars of the kind of cancer I had had removed, being Tubular Invasive, plus in situ cribriform, found some great links on how to use doctor's prognostic tools, and after a few very interesting discoveries in medical journals online, I questioned the radiation oncologist about why she has prescribed in particular the following:

Three grays a day for three weeks (15 days) plus boosts to the tumour bed so 45 grays + 11 boost grays = 56. This is (I think) known as a hypo-fractionated (HF) radiotherapy schedule, fast and stronger, with supposedly the same effect and side effects, as the 2 grays a day for 5 or 6 weeks schedule. I wasn't told why I was having the HF radiotherapy. The boosts, she had formerly explained, were to do with my "young" age.

The boosts in particular turned out to be not at all recommended for my situation, according to NZ's own Breast Cancer Guidelines, as it offers just .08% lower recurrence risk, but twice the side effects.

Additionally, boosts should not have been prescribed with the HF radiotherapy. But this was just the start of the chain of events that led eventually to my decision to refuse radiotherapy treatment.

In my second and final meeting with her, she did not really response to hardly any of the questions I had raised. Instead she had (gone to all the trouble) to print out a single study illustrating why she recommended radiotherapy for me. It was half a page with few details, by the Radiation Department of Harvard in 1992 which showed a 23% recurrence rate in the ipsilateral breast (original site) of breast cancer, in women with early stage, no nodal breast cancer, T1. Thus similar to my own case; clear margins, no vascular invasion, for women receiving no radiotherapy.

I didn't have time to read the few details of this study until I got home. At a glance it looked scary with 23% recurrence rates, (still much less than the average recurrence rate of 39%), but upon closer inspection, although this study included women with Tubular Carcinoma (the kind I had), it didn't say how many, and also included the much more common and dangerous Invasive Ductal Carcinoma (IDC). This study was just 87 women, smaller even than actual Tubular Carcinoma studies, which are generally small because of the rareness of this cancer.

My guess is, and its a huge omission in data, is that the Tubular proportion would have been the same as in a general breast cancer population 1-4% (one to three woman in the 87). My guess is none of the TC cases were among the 23% recurrences. Why they didn't give more details I don't know, but I gather this article was "cherry picked" as supporting the RO's case for my treatment, better than anything else she could find.

This was also the first time she had done anything other than offer blanket statistics - yet Tubular Carcinoma is known to be the least aggressive of breast cancers, something she thought not worth  discussing. I never got any answer as to why that particular radiotherapy regime was prescribed. She could have "sweetened the deal" by telling me up front she was dumping the boosts and giving me 2 grays a day instead of 3 - that may have persuaded me, but this wasn't offered.

My comparative study, I had brought with me, was of 102 women with pure Tubular Cancer published in 2010.  The results were that there were no deaths from Tubular Cancer, but two deaths from a recurrence of a different, more dangerous breast cancer, a "phenotype shift". Recurrence rates in women with lumpectomies was 11% for those who didn't receive radiotherapy. Those who DID receive it, had a recurrence of 5.8% (were these the same women with the phenotype shift?)

Note: Radiotherapy can create "breast cancer stem cells", which are 30 times more resistant to radiotherapy and chemotherapy - an alarming thought. Proven so far only in mice, (this is the latest information). Is the body "fighting back" on a cellular level? (what doesn't kill you makes you stronger on a cellular level). There is a link to an article in my previous blog about this.


Largest Tubular Carcinoma Study 2010

So the recurrence rate for those women with Tubular Cancer and lumpectomies and chose not to have radiotherapy was 11%, less those who had lumpectomies and radiotherapy but still got a recurrence (this rate was 5.8%), means the actual benefit of radiotherapy is 5.2%, which gives me once again, a similar figure to those I had arrived at via prognostic tools and other studies (see my previous blog). As concluded previously the risks weighed against this figure leave me in the 1-2% range of benefit - and not worth it.

Should I have a recurrence of any kind I would preserve radiotherapy for such an event.

Below, yet another study - this time recurrences were only among women who had surgery alone. In this study radiotherapy seemed to bring recurrence rates to zero, but the recurrence rate was very low anyway, in those who had surgery alone.

Excision Only for Tubular Carcinoma of the Breast - it seems Tubular alone is discussed in this context

"The low frequency of distant metastasis and cancer-related mortality in primary TC and the development of recurrences only in the group of patients who were treated by wide local excision raise the question of whether TC is at the least aggressive end of the spectrum of a malignant disease or represents a unique and distinct entity of breast cancer with an excellent prognosis". 

CLEAN MARGINS AND THEIR PREDICTIVE VALUE

Surgery can be very curative, the larger the clean margins, the more curative.

Although I had clean margins, most of which were very large, the oncologist brought up I had one which was just 4mm, which some surgeons would consider "close" (but most would not, as most accept 2mm). However, this was for the in situ part of the tumour. The oncologist brought this up as a reason for radiotherapy, but didn't mention its in situ nature. Additionally this measurement was a distance from the surface of my chest skin, thus there was no more flesh beyond the surface of my skin to take or be measured. The in situ was quite close under the surface. The total area of tumour was 60% tubular invasive and 40% cribriform in situ, making up 20mms altogether. There was no vascular invasion or nodal involvement.

Link: Cribriform carcinoma is by definition low grade

When cancer is in situ, radiotherapy is not usually required, so often treated with surgery alone. It is Stage 0, non invasive, at this point.

For the invasive component of my tumour, the smallest margin was 6mm, a very good margin. The rest of my margins were 8, 20, 17 and 27mm (really quite large). The bigger the margins the better, with many surgeons believing it is the major favourable factor in reducing recurrence.

Radiotherapy, Dr Melvin J Silverstein explains: "blunts" the value of good, large clean margins - as in radiotherapy improves recurrence rates, but one can't tell necessarily what is the major positive influence. So it is personal experience that leads surgeons to the belief that surgery involving wide clean margins may be the real reason for low recurrence rates:

The value of large margins, according to Dr Melvin J Silverstein

What my surgeon did was essentially a "reduction mammoplasty", which is of great benefit in recurrence rates (as recommended in the above article). I had told my surgeon just prior to going into surgery that the breast he was operating on was easily the largest, so he said "he would balance them". He did a terrific job, taking plenty of surrounding tissue, something surgeons very much prefer to do for good outcomes in breast cancer surgery, but naturally the visual/cosmetic effect is a big consideration and they can't always do this. In this instance, my desire to reduce that breast size very much worked with his preference.

An extract from the above article, as you can see 83-97% of surgeons accept that 6mm is a very acceptable clean margin :


BOOST RADIOTHERAPY 

During my second appointment with the Radiation Oncologist I mentioned the recommendation of "boost" radiotherapy, and she promptly denied she had done this. But then looked at her computer and said "oh yes, so I did".

I wanted her to know, and I told her, that I had read that other doctors do not recommend combining boosts with hypo-fractionated, higher dose radiotherapy regimes, as she had prescribed me. She was not happy with me. The following excerpt is from an article on the new prone position for radiotherapy.



My RO never openly admitted she should not have been prescribing boosts to me. She made no comment on this being a mistake or not, but it's apparent she had since thought it not right for me after all? Or maybe it was because I pointed out it was not meant to be prescribed to women with clear margins in their 50's, are per NZ's own guidelines?  - never mind being combined with the higher grays per day she had prescribed.

Additionally, it seems that breast cancer surgery techniques generally mean that the bed of the original tumour cannot be identified, so what was she going to point the radiotherapy at? simply the scar? this is not indicative of the 3D orientation of the tumour bed, as per this excerpt from article linked below excerpt:



LINK : Margins, oncoplasty and treatment

I gather the technique used in particular on me by my surgeon was the ellipse segmentectomy, which can also be described (as it was to me), like a slice of pie being removed and the empty segment of the pie where the slice was, is pushed together to complete the circle again.  Thus its extremely likely the bed of my tumour is unidentifiable and should NOT have been getting boost radiotherapy (aimed it its no longer known location).  I had 50 grams of flesh including the tumour removed, which is close to the median weight of tissue removed during a reductive mammoplasty, as per any of the above surgical techniques. Once again, my Radiation Oncologist should have considered this circumstance as yet another lowering of recurrence rate predictive factors, knowing she had no thought towards discussing this at any point, its not surprizing.

My Radiation Oncologist's position was mainly of defending her recommended treatment, rather than trying to convince me to have radiotherapy. She did get really quite angry with me, yet I am well within my rights to question and/or refuse radiotherapy.

My GP warned me I would come up against her ego and how right she was, but I was being completely reasonable. It shouldn't be this way.  We didn't go far into the actual figures of Tubular Cancer, because she didn't want to know. She also conveniently threw out all prognostic tools as any indication of recurrence rates and said "we just don't know". Good to know.

As mentioned in my previous posting, I had discovered my Nottingham Prognostic Score had been added up wrong (1+1 does not =3), which artificially raised my risk of recurrence on paper. The RO claimed this "typo" had no bearing on the treatment she had prescribed (this goes against much of what I have read - that the NPI is indeed quite relevant to treatments prescribed).

Upon realizing her prescribed treatment was looking to be quite flawed, and even ill informed, it was difficult to go ahead and accept radiotherapy at the hands of someone like this. Perhaps even without the trust broken, I would have made a decision not to have radiotherapy. I can no longer tell, but I had never considered not having it until I became more aware.

But either way, I take responsibility for my own decision, and any consequences.

It was my feeling that she was very perfunctory in her job, with little real interest in the individual.

Maybe its just too much to hope someone can bring that every day, when each day, there are another five women in the same needful and vulnerable situation, arriving to be processed?

DO DOCTORS HAVE A "THIRST FOR KNOWLEDGE"?

This is something we would all assume, but maybe like people in jobs all over the world, some are not interested in continuing their education or being the best they can be. One would think in the field of medicine this would be a pre-requisite, but is it? I think its apparent that it is not.

I often research and read articles on the latest breast cancer treatment. Over and over I read sentences about how the medical community is slow to adopt new practices, even if these new practices are proving really beneficial and safer for patients. Its a worry. Surely part of the job is to update one's knowledge, technique or whatever else is involved?

It clear there was some incompetence in regards to my own radiotherapy recommendations, but I didn't want to get into a yelling match with the RO.  I guess I am now considered "a difficult patient", for speaking up, no matter how politely.

Her worst case scenario was 23% recurrence - which equates to 77% no recurrence - I'll take that - with no introduction of other dangerous elements into my body via radiation. If her study had been about Tubular Carcinoma only, it would have given me food for thought, but it wasn't specific to Tubular Carcinoma.

Having read to the end of her tiny, almost completely irrelevant and flawed study, four women had died of distant metastases (how breast cancer eventually kills) but more women (five) had died of other unrelated causes, old age, heart attacks and the like.  Eternity was never an option for any of us.

The more I read, the more I know and the more I am comfortable with my decision. There is little to dissuade me back towards radiotherapy. Yes, I have now apparently a raised lifetime risk, simply because my body has made cancer before and may do so again, as in a "new primary cancer". But this is not something radiotherapy to the previously affected breast, can thwart. This information about "new primary tumours" is also something not mentioned by those prescribing radiotherapy.

The ticking clock of mortality is ironically, less of a worry to me than before, as my appreciation of each day annihilates this. The benefits of looking after myself better are astounding, as my energy level is incalculably larger, with my weight a lot less, more exercise, no alcohol (no hangovers so no more carcinogenic substances resulting from drinking - acetaldehyde) and major positivity, not to mention the added bonus of my partner stopping smoking.

My holistic GP said it could be simply my body giving me a message. If so, I have listened and learned.

OVER DIAGNOSIS


Is openly admitted among Breast Cancer Researchers.  The following screen shot is the current state of statistics for mammograms, breast cancer discoveries, treatments and outcomes:













LINKS

Online pdf: Management and Guidelines for Early Breast Cancer in New Zealand

Over diagnosis - Medical Overkill?

Screening for Cancer Evaluation and Usefulness

http://principleintopractice.com/2013/07/03/mammography-what-we-know-what-we-think-we-know/

Over Diagnosis Dr Lissa Rankin MD - I love what DR Lissa Rankin has to say, about listening to your own instincts and just getting on with life in a joyful way, very much mirroring what my own GP said.



Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Why I Am Deciding Against Having Post-Op Radiotherapy


Breast Conserving Therapy means two steps: surgery (partial mastectomy, lumpectomy - same thing), then hand in hand with that: radiotherapy.

I was meant to go to the mapping session today for radiotherapy, get positioned and tattooed, but the lymph node removal wound under my arm didn't heal well and they won't irradiate you if you have anything like that going on, as the immunity system gets compromised during radiation. So I cancelled it in the meantime.

I told my breast care nurse that my lymph node surgery, under my arm, was weeping and she said "go to my GP". So I did.  My doctor was booked out, so the on-site nurse at my doctor's office looked at my wound instead - but then my doctor walked into the room, and said she had been following what was going on with me and would like to talk to me - and I felt so glad to see her.  

She has been my doctor for thirty years and is holistic, she also delivered my daughter 20 years ago. I made an appointment and went to see her yesterday.  I really wanted to pick her brains about radiotherapy. I should have spoken to her from the time of my diagnosis, but I have been kind of "toughing it out". 

I asked her what she thought of  radiotherapy and she said "use your intuition".  Oh boy. OK. She also said "you can just say no, you know", and that I don't have to be rushed into a decision about radiotherapy - there was no reason why I can't take a couple of weeks to think it through. I had been feeling pushed along and "processed". 

I always intended to have radiotherapy - but three things happened that pointed out to me that I should look at this more closely:

The first thing was the underarm wound taking time to heal, which gave me a bit of time to think, and caused me to run into my GP.

Secondly, I had seen a Radiation Oncologist last week, my first and only visit with her, and I was quite shocked she was giving me a LOT of grays (radiotherapy units). 56 over 3 weeks, 3 a day, which is well over the usual conservative 2 grays a day, including boosts to the tumour bed. This may be what is called hypo-fractionated radiotherapy, or it may be accelerated. I wasn't told.

She also uttered the alarming phrase: "you are pretty much guaranteed lung scarring". I took this at the time, and signed the consent form.  And then she said I should be on Tamoxifen as well. THAT'S when I realized her hard right point of view, which is quite different to my surgeon, who had said it was fine for me to not take it, as it only lessened my chances of re-occurence by 1.7% and it had some not great side effects. 

If the radiotherapy prescribed is hypo-fractionated or accelerated it is 5 or 6 weeks condensed down into three, BUT the overall gys are supposed to be reduced, and they weren't?

3gys a day means that if they get it wrong and the beam goes even slightly off, the damage is much worse (permanent) than if they give it in the standard 2 grays a day. There are people whose lives are ruined by the field not "hitting the target volume" at 3 gys. This is, of course, rare, (but I have already experienced someone adding 1 + 1 = 3 on my histology report!)

Here is a medical essay advising against use of above 2 gys a day: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16644570  and

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19504371 - Hypo-fractionation in radiotherapy:  investigation of injured Swedish women treated for cancer of the breast

She was also grimacing as she told me what I was getting, which set off my alarm bells. What was going on?

But before all that, there was a mistake on my histology report.  My Nottingham Prognostic Grade was put down as 3.32, when the real grade was 2.32, which artificially elevates my risk towards moderate, instead of the lowest risk category. I had told my breast care nurse about this error weeks ago, and she did nothing about it.

Yesterday I realized the importance of this mistake, this is the third thing.  I have since found online medical documents that state the NPI score is the basis of radiotherapy treatment.

Between the Radiation Oncologist being quite far right in her idea of treatment AND basing treatment on a mistake I feel I was getting "the heads up" about something. 

FURTHERMORE: I was diagnosed with Tubular Breast Cancer, which is just 2% of all breast cancers, so doesn't get much attention, but is the least aggressive, least likely to travel. I could not have got a better one, word for word "if you are going to get cancer, this is the one to get", they said at the Breast Clinic, on the day of my diagnosis.

Here is some information on Tubular Cancer: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19386432 - I had never heard of it before a few weeks ago when I found it on my histology report (the analysis of the removed tumour). It seems Tubular is a "favourable" kind of cancer, the most favourable in fact.

According to online prognostic tools Tubular Cancer is about as third as active as the most common breast cancer women are diagnosed with, being Invasive Ductal Carcinoma (IDC), which mine is a subgroup of, but has these different, favourable characteristics:

Link: Tubular Carcinoma Study - contains the sentence: "Breast conservation treatment results in low rates of local recurrence for tubular carcinoma with or without the use of radiation therapy.


The oncologist used general statistics in the conversation - but my case is very different to the overall average woman with Early Breast Cancer. I walked away feeling a bit bewildered. Later I re-read the NZ Guidelines doc, as below, and realized, she should have already worked out and showed me my INDIVIDUAL statistics, to weigh up pros and cons of radiotherapy. This was not even approached in the slightest.

Here is an excerpt from the guidelines document:



RADIOTHERAPY PROS AND CONS

The use of radiation in the last 15 years has increased rapidly, since lumpectomies instead of mastectomies have become more the norm. 

Lumpectomies nearly always are accompanied by radiotherapy, as the resulting stats reflect the same amount of breast cancer re-occurence as those who have mastectomies (which generally don't require radiation - one of mastectomies's advantages). 

Currently only women over the age of 70 with small, non travelling cancers are not recommended radiation (negatives outweigh benefits).  

Radiotherapy can kill the initial cancer, but can also cause a myriad of other cancers starting from around the three year after mark. They are not huge numbers of cancer, adding up to under the 1%, but add that to the cardiovascular and lung damage problems from grays "scatter" (there is an "acceptable amount of grays" to the heart and lungs apparently) and it is not looking like the benefits outweigh the risks to someone like me, who is, it appears, getting small benefit, as my risk is lower to start with.

The most common radiotherapy induced cancers are lung and leukemia. The fields of grays penetrate lungs, heart and spine. Radiotherapy Induced Lung cancer for example, tends to be further down the years, 3-15 away - just as someone who has radiation to the chest when under the age of 25 has increased risks of cancer, including breast.

Additionally there is an increased risk of heart disease.

Below is recent information about the range of increase being from 2.4-3.4%. The average of the two scores added to the inherent/natural risk of 1.9%, would bring my post-radiotherapy average heart disease risk to 4.8% - this is already, without any consideration of radiotherapy induced cancers, not looking very viable compared to the 5.8% improvement in recurrence rates radiotherapy would give me:



I was "pretty much guaranteed scarring of the lungs" by the Radiation Oncologist. Additionally the she mentioned rib necrosis, which means some of my ribs would be "cooked" - they change their composition and become more prone to breakage and pain down the years.

Effects of lung scarring can lead to lifetime problems with lung capacity, dry coughing, further inflammation, becoming more prone to pneumonia and the scar tissue actually predisposing your lungs to developing common lung cancer. So possibly immediate lowering of the quality of life, with serious long term possible developments. Many people notice no side effects however, and the damage is only visible on an X-ray. Being a singer, I think I would notice the difference.









"BOOST" RADIOTHERAPY - ANOTHER DECISION I QUESTION

The Radiation Oncologist was planning to give me boosts to the "bed" where the tumour had been (despite my massive clean margins). For some reason she had me in the 50 and under age group, yet according to NZ's own guidelines I should be in the 50 and OVER age group,(50 IS over 50!), whose statistics show little benefit from boosts (0.8%) AND worsened long term side effects.




OS in the above text means Overall Survival, as you can see, these boosts have no bearing on that. It is not life saving, its about cutting recurrence rates.

The screen shot below is a discussion in the context of the newer shortened radiotherapy regime. It cautions that boosts should NOT be combined with shortened, more intense (3 gys a day) regimes, yet this combination is exactly what I was prescribed :




Boosts are useful for women my age, or any age, that have positive margins (remnants of the tumour found too near the excision edges). My margins were very large, and clean, with absolutely no evidence of vascular invasion or lymph node invasion. You can't get much better than that. And then its Tubular as well.

HOW THE NUMBERS COMPARE:

How I arrived at the level of benefit from radiotherapy is further down the page. The maximum "good" it can do me is to decrease my chances of recurrence by 5.8% (from a maximum estimate of 8.3%* - this is from the IBRT predictive tool)

I feel its only right to follow this with the negatives that reduce this benefit:

Less up to 1% cancers resulting from radiotherapy (including lung and leukemia)
Less 2.9% additional chance of heart disease (see screen shot further up, this is an average, not a maximum)

The lung scarring, fibrosis etc is an unknown, but "common" (guaranteed in my case, it must have been the high grays, so scarring guaranteed, how that would affect me, not known).

There there are possible pain issues, hardening and shrinking of the breast tissue itself, getting worse at 5 and then 10 years.

So now the advantage/reduction in recurrence risk by having radiotherapy, is reduced to a tiny 1.9%*

I can take Tamoxifen to lower my risk by an additional 1.7% - add radiotherapy (1.9%) and tamoxifen together = 3.6% advantage all up - NOTHING like the 19% improvement in overall statistics quoted for Early Breast Cancer patients in NZ to me at the last meeting with the RO.

1.9% is similar to the figure of 1.7% my surgeon discussed with me as "not being worth it" in regards to taking Tamoxifen.

*According to 2010's Comparative Study TC to IDC - http://jco.ascopubs.org/content/28/1/99.long

- the outcome of recurrence in TC cases was 6.9%, Invasive Ductal Carcinoma, (the commonest breast cancer) recurrence was 25%.

In the above study NO women died of TC (there were 102 TC cases in the study, and this is one of the larger studies). There was a tiny mortality from women originally diagnosed with TC, but they had a recurrence of a more aggressive kind - which was the true cause ultimately, of death by breast cancer.

It seems surveillance is my best protection.  And to reserve my one shot at radiotherapy, should a more aggressive cancer emerge, at some time in the future. 

AND FINALLY

Mostly the word "recurrence" is mentioned in favour of the use of radiotherapy. Some of the figures on this page also talk about mortality i.e. deaths and sometimes Disease Free Survival. One has to keep an eye on these different terms.

Radiotherapy is exclusively used to reduce recurrence. So therefore it CAN also have a long term effect on mortality, but not usually.

On most information websites about breast cancer risks, one of the risk factors, along with ageing and being a woman is:

"Having had breast cancer previously"

My chances of getting breast cancer again are heightened, compared to a woman who has never had breast cancer before.  This is not the recurrence rate affected by radiotherapy.

Some studies say there is a 16-26% risk of a "new primary breast cancer" for a Tubular case like mine, which is still less than the average woman with IDC (as high as 30%). But compared to 14% risk for the average woman (i.e. 1 in 7), my new risk, post-diagnosis risk is elevated

So this risk is far greater than my risk of recurrence in the ipsilateral breast (original site), which seems to be somewhere between 8-11%.

So radiotherapy has little bearing on this new inherent risk factor: This is something doctors conveniently don't mention. Radiotherapy is ONLY about preventing "recurrence" in the same area. Radiotherapy is to the affected, diagnosed breast only.

A "new primary" breast cancer can happen, for example, and is unrelated to the original cancer and radiotherapy, if treated with radiotherapy, especially highlighted when diagnosed in the opposite breast (contra-lateral), and is by far, the larger risk for me, that radiotherapy can do nothing for - although some studies suggest radiotherapy can CONTRIBUTE to cancer in the opposite breast.

Sometimes "new primaries" will also occur in the same breast as earlier diagnosed, and it can be difficult to know what is related to the former cancer and what is a "new primary". However, recurrences are usually diagnosed within three years of the initial diagnosis and operation, so there are many ways to observe whether a cancer is a recurrence or a "new primary".  The paragraph screenshot below, explains it quite well. The full text can be read via the link.




FUTURE BREAST CANCER TREATMENT?

I came across this new nine year study about women with Early Breast Cancer, Radiotherapy vs No Radiotherapy, from May 2013. This is considered "radical", as my probable decision is:

"Post-op Radiotherapy Not Needed in Select Breast Cancers"


The overall result is only a 1% difference in recurrence between radiated and non radiated women - but this is in particular for small, early, low grade cancers (such as mine). The recurrence rate without radiotherapy was 4.4% compared to with radiotherapy at 3.4%. 

If they do a few more studies that agree with this, in a few years, women like me won't be pressured to have radiotherapy at all. Its considered very controversial to not have radiotherapy in currently. But I am very much in the grey area as to whether it is worth it for me. I wasn't aware of this, until fate and instinct intervened.

The only difference between myself and the women in the study, and I completely meet all that criteria, and at the lowest end of risk, is that I don't live in Italy and am five years younger than the youngest woman.

Tamoxifen (endocrine or hormone therapy, a pill a day for 5 to 10 years) is also involved in these figures, keeping them so low, but this low figure compares similarly to the chart further down, which also accounts for use of Tamoxifen.

Early Breast Cancer doesn't kill anybody, late breast cancer does. 

Radiotherapy is only ever one shot, a breast cannot be safely irradiated twice (or even once for some). I think I would prefer to keep this as an option in the future, should there be any recurrence, especially if it is a more aggressive cancer, which seems to be the only reason why women originally diagnosed with TC die, (when they get a different more aggressive kind at a later date).


6th June 2013 Update

And so it begins, my Breast Care Nurse calls me this morning and advises me my chances of recurrence are 20% (she was making it up as usual, she changes her "data" all the time, I have noticed this from the beginning). She also said (ha ha) "Oh yes, I have changed your NPI (Nottingham Prognostic Score) now - yes it was wrong, ha ha". This is AFTER the Radiation Oncologist has prescribed me radiotherapy (thanks for that!)

I said I don't want radiotherapy, and then she said "if I had known you would be like this - we would have given you a mastectomy". I can't believe a nurse, who claims she is supposed to support whatever choice I make, would say something so unprofessional and menacing. I have asked her not to contact me again.

And she actually had no idea what my ACTUAL stats and odds are. But I do. Now.

WHY DO the guidelines say "a woman should be informed of risks" when if a woman decides she thinks they are too much, she will still be pressured to take the treatment?

The fact is, I AM allowed to refuse treatment, but this nurse took it upon herself to pressure me in no subtle way.

I feel like my cancer was some kind of peculiar "gift".  A big wake up call - and the next message is yelling at me not to risk my lungs and other perfectly good bits. If I had something Grade 2 or 3, or anything in my lymph nodes, I wouldn't even be entertaining the thought of not having radiotherapy - but I am at the complete lower end of low risk.

I permanently gave up alcohol the day before my diagnosis, have since lost 7 kgs and doubled my exercise, which apparently can improve your chances by 40% of avoiding recurrences.  I am at my perfect weight.

Have I bored you long enough?  

Below is a screen shot from the Management of Early Breast Cancer NZ Guidelines document. It states that after lumpectomy and radiotherapy (and possibly Tamoxifen too, but its not clear), a women who has had early breast cancer has the recurrence odds of 7.3%. Which is about the same as my own highest odds WITHOUT radiotherapy OR Tamoxifen*.




The next bit is just all the boring figure work, as to how I arrived at my individual statistics.

PROGNOSTIC TOOLS FOR DOCTORS


Below is where I got my "recurrence of breast cancer in the next ten years" figures from, being 8.3% without radiotherapy or Tamoxifen. Without radiotherapy but plus Tamoxifen = 6.3%. The benefit of radiotherapy is 5.8% reduction in recurrence over ten years. It does not take into account the type being Tubular, just breast cancer in general. So this figure is on the high side, as Tubular cuts figures drastically on other prognostic tools. You can see the difference on the interactive prognostic tool link further down.

This calculation was via a doctor's online tool called IBTR. These are my stats entered and each is a screen shot of the different odds of re-occurence over ten years.



And here is another one below - this time it takes into account my particular kind -Tubular Cancer, which has better prognostic features than any other Stage 1 cancer. 

The calculator below considers that radiotherapy has been applied, thus the 2 persons per hundred (2% death rate over 15 years) is similar to the second table above "with radiation" being 2.5% recurrence. This calculator illustrates more the differences between Tubular and other kinds of breast cancer.




You can enter stats into the calculator here and see how Tubular compares to other kinds of cancers: Breast Cancer Outcomes over 15 Years - choose the pie chart or bar graph option, the mortality curves are hard to interpret. Ductal (IDC) is the most common and is, according to these statistics three times more dangerous than Tubular, and ductal is by no means the most aggressive breast cancer there is. The Tubular death rate is rounded up to 2 persons, the actual figure is 1.5%

This table below is from Adjuvant Online! another doctor's prognostic website:






70% of women diagnosed with breast have IDC. Other breast cancers are more aggressive than IDC. In a list of all breast cancers in the order of most aggressive to least, Tubular Carcinoma is be at the very bottom of that list (see table above)


Update 16th June - I have another appointment to see the Radiation Oncologist, as options are limited, (I need an RO/hospital specialist or a GP referral to even see another expert in this field for a second opinion).

The RO this time has agreed to discuss everything with me including the "many interesting points I raised", so I can be sure of my decision "whatever it is". I like the sound of that, and I go into this meeting knowing infinitely more about my situation, than I did at the last meeting. SHE might even be more acquainted with my stats this time.


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Links:

A retired microbiologist gave me the heads up on this latest research, something that cemented her decision to not have radiotherapy:


http://breast-cancer-research.com/content/13/2/r38 - this is a study in secondary cancers from radiotherapy

A study of actual risk for second breast cancers and the current trend for prophylactic mastectomies in an un-diseased breast.


Tubular Breast Cancer Links:

Largest Study for Excision only treatment for Tubular Breast Cancer - just 2 out of 44 patients had a recurrence within ten years, both are alive and well after salvage surgery.

In conclusion it states: "This report suggests that breast irradiation could be omitted after conservative surgery in older patients with smaller (< or =3 cm) tubular/well-differentiated breast cancers. However, due to the retrospective nature of our report, we cannot categorically make this 
recommendation".

Tubular Breast Cancer compared to Invasive Ductal Outcomes - again, a conservative approach is recommended in treatment.

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This is just my story, my life. As my doctor said to me, "you are a unique human being, do what is right for you"..

Just the lumpectomy thanks. Nice job, stop there.